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Good Morning -

(1) Polls, Polls, Polls

YouGov/The Economist - National | July 21-July 23 | 602 US Adults | Note: Reflected movement is based off the YouGov/The Economist poll from two weeks ago.

Biden 25 (+2)
Warren 18 (+3)
Sanders 13 (0)
Harris 9 (-1)
Buttigieg 6 (-1)
Castro 3 (+2)
Booker 2 (-1)
Gabbard 2 (+1)
O’Rourke 2 (0)
Yang 2 (+1)
[All other candidates received one percent or less.]

Quinnipiac - Ohio | Democratic Primary | July 17-July 22 | 556 RV | +/- 5.1

Biden 31
Sanders 14
Harris 14
Warren 13
Buttigieg 6
[All other candidates received one percent or less.]

Quinnipiac - Ohio | Head-to-Head General | July 17-July 22 |  1,431 RV | +/- 3.2

Biden 50 - Trump 42
Sanders 45 - Trump 46
Warren 45 - Trump 46
Harris 44 - Trump 44
Buttigieg 44 - Trump 44
Booker 43 - Trump 44

(2) Debates & Forums

Detroit. We will get to hear more from the candidates next week when they face off in Detroit on July 30th and July 31st. CNN is giving each candidate a minute for an opening and closing statements.. In last month’s MSNBC debate there were no opening statements and 45 seconds for closing statements.

NAACP. The New York Times recaps yesterday’s candidate forum. The Convention opened with a vote to call for impeachment proceedings against Trump. 

National Urban League. Candidates participating in today’s plenaries and forum in Indianapolis are Biden, Booker, Buttigieg, Delaney, Gillibrand, Harris, Klobuchar, and Ryan.

(3) Policy

Gillibrand rolled out a $10T plan to combat the climate crisis. Her plan includes:

de Blasio wouldn’t say earlier this week at the Muslim Collective for Equitable Democracy Conference if he supports reparations for African Americans but said we should “have a national discussion, let’s look at this history deeply in an open manner.” 

(4) The Vote.

Florida. Priorities USA conducted a Florida battleground poll. The online survey had 1,056 LV for the 2020 general election and was conducted June 18th and June 30th. Party identification of respondents was 45% Republican and 44% Democratic. Some highlights from Priorities report are below: 

(5) Other News

Budget.
The House will vote on the proposed budget bill today.

Gloves are off. The debate has started and the candidates aren’t even wheels down in Detroit yet. Yesterday Biden went after Booker over Booker’s rebuke of his criminal justice record. From The Washington Post, “Joe Biden tears into Cory Booker and criticizes Kamala D. Harris as well in a shift to aggressively counter his challengers.” 

Puerto Rico. Governor Ricardo Rosselló officially announced his resignation. He announced he will step down on August 2nd. He will be succeeded by Wanda Vázquez, the current Secretary of Justice. Vázquez is member of the New Progressive Party (the same party as Rosselló).


Candidate Update:

Bennet will spend this Saturday, July 27th, in Iowa with scheduled stops in Indianola, Chariton, and West Des Moines. 

Bullock and his family will spend August 8th-August 10th in Iowa.

Castro is spending some of that debate-hump money on staff. His sixteen new hires include expansion of his HQ finance, digital and communications teams, and Nevada and South Carolina got organizing directors.

The Atlantic’s Edward-Isaac Devore highlights the pressure on Castro to show that his campaign is more than one debate. 

Gillibrand is back to Iowa today for her 9th visit to the state since announcing her run. She has scheduled stops are Cedar Rapids and Iowa City including a climate change roundtable with Iowa State Senator Rob Hogg.

Harris is getting some support from Obama bundlers, Michael and Jackie Kempler are hosting a Hamptons for her in August.

Harris is heading to Colorado August 2nd before she embarks on her 5 day bus tour across Iowa. 

Klobuchar is back in Iowa today and tomorrow. Scheduled stops include events in Iowa City and Des Moines.

Williamson is campaigning in South Carolina today with scheduled stops in Myrtle Beach and Conway. 



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Hindsight 2020 · 25 E 78th St · New York, NY 10075-0102 · USA

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